A market that is trending up should have higher peaks and higher valleys. The majority of bars should also have higher highs and higher lows. In a down trend the market should have lower valleys and lower peaks and the majority of bars should have lower lows and lower highs.
When a market is in consolidation (bracketing/flat) the price will generally oscillate in a broad range. Traders who are watching for the breakout will monitor the security for a qualified break. They may place a straddle traded to catch the move regardless of whether it breaks up or down.
There are traders who specialize in trading consolidation. I don't however recommend it to new traders simply because they get whipsawed too much.
Reading Gary Smiths book "How I trade for a living", I came across a reference to an interview with Donald Sliter, a top S&P floor trader. When asked about his trading strategy he had replied that it is a matter of understanding strength and weakness. When asked to expand on that, he said, "I scalp to the short side if we are trading weak to the Dow. I scalp to the long side if we're trading strong to the Dow." The interviewers were amazed that one of the biggest traders in the S&P pit had such a simple strategy.
For me, this reinforces the idea that as an active day trader of the futures market, it is not about developing complex, high probability strategies; it is about having simple, logical, high frequency strategies that give an edge. There are different approaches to creating an edge in trading. One that I like is to have a technique for determining the trend of the market and then looking for opportunities in line with the trend. One of the problems of trading trend following strategies is that they generate frequent losses in non-trending markets. One way to mitigate this problem is to not trade the signals from your trend following strategy, but use them as a filter for your trades.
Lets say you use a moving average (or any other trend identification approach) to measure trends; instead of buying the market when it crosses the moving average, see it as a signal to look for buying opportunities. So your strategy is to be a buyer when the market is above the moving average and a seller when the market is below the moving average. You can then use any number of techniques for generating entry signals in line with the identified trend. If, for example, you are a fan of RSI or any other oscillator, use that as your entry signal, but only take signals in line with the trend as you see it.
When the market is trending, your trend following technique will keep you on the right side of the market and your entry signal is likely to produce multiple successful trades. When the market is range bound, you will still have the opportunity to trade profitably because you won't be trading every breakout, you will be naturally drawn to buying dips and selling rallies (in line with your trend strategy signals).
Author Resource:-
Martin Chandra is a full-time investor. He has been researching investment strategies and make his own living. For more information please go to here.
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